AI Football Prediction Results

Every genuine AI tip published before kick-off counts once it is settled – hits and misses. Placeholder rows without a model answer are excluded.

82% · hit rate on Over 1.5 goals tips (last 30 days) 60,760 genuine AI tips settled since 02.06.2023

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Accuracy by market

Over 1.5
82%
5,460 of 6,646 tips
Double chance
73%
8,623 of 11,840 tips
Over/Under 2.5
55%
6,800 of 12,403 tips
Both teams to score
54%
6,754 of 12,403 tips
Match result (1X2)
51%
6,271 of 12,403 tips
Exact score
10%
1,189 of 12,403 tips

Positive-ROI betting system

+6.5% ROI in 29 days

AI tips on an away win · odds 2.00–2.49, average 2.25 · AI confidence ≥ 50%

ROI
+6.5%
Bets
146
Hit rate
47.9%
Average odds
2.25
Odds range
2.00–2.49
Profit
+9.49 units
Max drawdown
13.28 units

Period: last 30 days (12.09.2026–11.10.2026), including tips made before the model update · 12.09.2026–10.10.2026

How we calculate: flat stake of 1 unit per bet, no tax, average odds from several bookmakers recorded before kick-off. Profit is shown in units; ROI = profit ÷ units staked; max drawdown = the largest drop from a profit peak. The rule is re-selected every day from 840 combinations (market × odds range × AI confidence) with at least 40 bets. Past results do not guarantee future results. Odds below 1.20 are left out; rules that were in profit in both halves of the period are preferred.

Where AI tips were profitable: odds and confidence bands

We split every settled AI tip with pre-match odds by tip type, odds band and AI confidence. Only bands in profit on at least 40 bets are listed, best ROI first. Odds for Over/Under and both-teams-to-score have been recorded since 12.09.2026, so these markets have a shorter history.

Since 15.09.2026 – updated model

AI tipBandBetsHit rate (break-even)Avg. oddsProfit (units)ROISignal
Under 3.5 goalsodds 2.50–3.204757.4% (37.1%)2.71+26.08+55.5%solid
Over 2.5 goalsAI confidence 70% and above4881.3% (75.0%)1.34+4.25+8.9%promising
Home win (1)odds 1.40–1.6043569.4% (66.8%)1.50+17.01+3.9%could be luck
Away win (2)odds 1.80–2.0026354.0% (52.8%)1.89+5.55+2.1%could be luck

Last 30 days (12.09.2026–11.10.2026)

AI tipBandBetsHit rate (break-even)Avg. oddsProfit (units)ROISignal
Under 3.5 goalsodds 2.50–3.207054.3% (36.7%)2.74+32.95+47.1%solid
Away win (2)odds 3.20–4.504228.6% (27.2%)3.72+2.11+5.0%could be luck
Home win (1)odds 1.40–1.6053669.6% (66.9%)1.50+22.08+4.1%promising
Under 2.5 goalsodds 2.50–3.209938.4% (36.8%)2.73+4.07+4.1%could be luck
Away win (2)odds 1.40–1.6017968.2% (66.9%)1.50+3.62+2.0%could be luck
Home win (1)AI confidence 50–60%75060.5% (59.8%)1.73+12.48+1.7%could be luck
Away win (2)AI confidence 50–60%45855.0% (54.4%)2.00+4.95+1.1%could be luck
Home win (1)AI confidence 70% and above4673.9% (75.1%)1.36+0.46+1.0%could be luck
Away win (2)odds 1.80–2.0029853.4% (52.8%)1.90+2.70+0.9%could be luck

Flat stake of 1 unit per bet, no tax, average pre-match odds. Break-even = hit rate needed to finish at zero at these odds. Signal: “solid” = well above break-even and positive in both halves of the period; “promising” = above break-even in both halves; “could be luck” = the sample is still too small to tell. Past results do not guarantee future results.

Card predictions: how accurate they are

2,162 settled matches, 18.09.2026–11.10.2026. Next to every accuracy we show the baseline — what you get without any prediction, by always calling the side that happens more often — so it is clear where the AI prediction adds something.

Over 3.5 cards
64.1%
1,386 of 2,162 correct
baseline 58.0% · +6.1 pp
Over 4.5 cards
63.2%
1,367 of 2,162 correct
baseline 58.7% · +4.5 pp
MarketAccuracySettledBaselineEdge
Over 2.5 cards76.4%2,16275.7% always over+0.7 pp · no edge
Over 3.5 cards64.1%2,16258.0% always over+6.1 pp
Over 4.5 cards63.2%2,16258.7% always under+4.5 pp
Over 5.5 cards74.6%2,16273.9% always under+0.7 pp · no edge
Both teams booked76.3%2,16275.9% always yes+0.4 pp · no edge
Red card80.7%2,16280.7% always no+0.0 pp · no edge
Penalty85.4%2,16285.4% always no+0.0 pp · no edge

The baseline is a prediction-free guess: always calling the side that turned out more often in this sample. A market says something about the model only when the accuracy is above it — a high number on a line where one side happens in most matches says more about the market than about the model.

Card predictions have been stored since 18.09.2026, so shorter periods can show the same numbers. Every prediction is saved before kick-off and settled against the match record; a yellow and a red card count as one each. The call is over/yes when the AI prediction gives at least 50%.

All card predictions →

1X2 hit rate by day

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Genuine AI football tips settled each day, last 30 days. Faded bars: fewer than 30 tips that day.

Latest settled AI tips

Last 48 hours: 759 of 1,461 1X2 tips correct (52%). This count includes every settled genuine tip, not only the cards below.

Liga MX11.10 03:00
Club America
1:1FT
Monterrey
AI 2-1 1 Over 2.5 BTTS: yes
Liga MX11.10 01:00
Atlas
1:1FT
Guadalajara Chivas
AI 1-2 2 Over 2.5 BTTS: yes
Eredivisie10.10 19:00
Fortuna Sittard
1:1FT
Twente
AI 1-2 2 Over 2.5 BTTS: yes
Eredivisie10.10 19:00
Ajax
1:1FT
NEC Nijmegen
AI 3-1 1 Over 2.5 BTTS: yes
La Liga10.10 19:00
Real Madrid
1:0FT
Villarreal
AI 2-1 1 Over 2.5 BTTS: yes
Serie A10.10 18:45
Napoli
3:0FT
Frosinone
AI 2-0 1 Under 2.5 BTTS: no
Ligue 110.10 18:45
Stade Brestois 29
5:1FT
Angers
AI 1-0 1 Under 2.5 BTTS: no
Ligue 110.10 18:45
Lorient
1:0FT
Paris FC
AI 1-2 2 Over 2.5 BTTS: yes
Ligue 110.10 18:45
Monaco
2:2FT
Toulouse
AI 2-1 1 Over 2.5 BTTS: yes
Liga Profesional Argentina10.10 18:45
Barracas Central
2:0FT
Huracan
AI 1-1 X Under 2.5 BTTS: yes
Ekstraklasa10.10 18:15
Jagiellonia
1:3FT
Gornik Zabrze
AI 2-1 1 Over 2.5 BTTS: yes
Primeira Liga10.10 17:00
Maritimo
1:2FT
FC Porto
AI 0-2 2 Under 2.5 BTTS: no
Eredivisie10.10 16:45
GO Ahead Eagles
3:3FT
Sparta Rotterdam
AI 2-1 1 Over 2.5 BTTS: yes
Eredivisie10.10 16:45
Feyenoord
2:0FT
AZ Alkmaar
AI 2-1 1 Over 2.5 BTTS: yes
Premier League10.10 16:30
Manchester United
1:1FT
Tottenham
AI 2-1 1 Over 2.5 BTTS: yes
La Liga10.10 16:30
Barcelona
3:0FT
Getafe
AI 3-0 1 Over 2.5 BTTS: no
Serie A10.10 16:00
Inter
3:0FT
Parma
AI 3-0 1 Over 2.5 BTTS: no
Premier League - First stage - Main10.10 16:00
Marsaxlokk
2:1FT
Zabbar
AI 2-1 1 Over 2.5 BTTS: yes
Ekstraklasa10.10 15:30
Slask Wroclaw
1:4FT
Lech Poznan
AI 1-2 2 Over 2.5 BTTS: yes
Ligue 110.10 15:15
Lille
1:0FT
Le Havre
AI 2-0 1 Under 2.5 BTTS: no
La Liga10.10 14:15
Alaves
1:2FT
Atletico Madrid
AI 0-1 2 Under 2.5 BTTS: no
Premier League10.10 14:00
Aston Villa
2:2FT
Brentford
AI 2-1 1 Over 2.5 BTTS: yes
Premier League10.10 14:00
Chelsea
5:1FT
Bournemouth
AI 2-1 1 Over 2.5 BTTS: yes
Premier League10.10 14:00
Ipswich
2:1FT
Fulham
AI 1-2 2 Over 2.5 BTTS: yes

All markets

MarketTipsCorrectAccuracy
Match result
Home win (1)7,7854,14453%
Draw (X)56314325%
Away win (2)4,0551,98449%
Double chance
Home win → 1X7,7855,76974%
Away win → X24,0552,85470%
Over/Under
Over 1.59,3537,60681%
Under 1.53,05083527%
Over 2.56,6464,16963%
Under 2.55,7572,63146%
Over 3.522613258%
Under 3.512,1777,66963%
Safety margin
Under 2.5 → under 3.55,7573,88067%
Over 2.5 → over 1.56,6465,46082%
Both teams to score
BTTS: yes6,8694,02759%
BTTS: no5,5342,72749%
Exact score
Exact score12,4031,18910%