AI Card Predictions Today

Matches with an appointed referee, sorted by expected cards. The model combines the referee’s card rate with both teams’ discipline; the grey figure is the league average. All referees →

How accurate these predictions are →

Today · 12.11

DateMatchRefereeExp. cardsOver 3.5Over 4.5Both bookedPenaltyRed card
19:45San Marino – BelarusUEFA Nations League Goga Kikacheishvili 4.74.4 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%
19:45Czech Republic – SpainUEFA Nations League Dabanovic N. 4.54.4 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%
19:45Montenegro – LatviaUEFA Nations League Jérôme Brisard 4.34.4 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%
19:45Italy – FranceUEFA Nations League Imre Kovacs 4.24.4 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%
17:00Turkey – BelgiumUEFA Nations League Scharer S. 4.24.4 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%
17:00Armenia – CyprusUEFA Nations League Orel Grinfeld 4.14.4 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%
19:45England – CroatiaUEFA Nations League Morten Krogh 3.54.4 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%
19:45Albania – FinlandUEFA Nations League Jonathan Benkenstein Pinheiro 3.44.4 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%

Tomorrow · 13.11

DateMatchRefereeExp. cardsOver 3.5Over 4.5Both bookedPenaltyRed card
19:45Liechtenstein – AzerbaijanUEFA Nations League Tohver K. 4.64.4 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%
19:45Scotland – FYR MacedoniaUEFA Nations League Michal Očenáš 4.44.4 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%
19:45Andorra – GibraltarUEFA Nations League Robert Hennessy 4.34.4 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%
19:45Bulgaria – IcelandUEFA Nations League Badstubner F. 4.34.4 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%
19:45Slovenia – SwitzerlandUEFA Nations League Vergoote J. 4.04.4 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%
17:00Moldova – KazakhstanUEFA Nations League Andrea Colombo 4.04.4 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%
19:45Luxembourg – EstoniaUEFA Nations League Ishmael Barbara 3.84.4 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%
19:45Slovakia – Faroe IslandsUEFA Nations League Mohammad Al-Emara 3.74.4 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%
19:45Netherlands – GreeceUEFA Nations League Saggi R. 3.64.4 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%
19:45Serbia – GermanyUEFA Nations League J. Alberola 3.64.4 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%
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Referee not announced yet

Expected cards based on both teams’ discipline and the league average. The referee is usually appointed 1–3 days before kick-off.

DateMatchExp. cardsCards/game in their matches (home – away)Over 3.5Over 4.5
12.11 21:00Cucuta – JaguaresPrimera A 6.66.0 6.3 – 6.3 ●●%●●%
12.11 21:00Cucuta – JaguaresPrimera A 6.66.0 6.3 – 6.3 ●●%●●%
12.11 21:00Millonarios – Alianza ValleduparPrimera A 6.26.0 6.8 – 5.7 ●●%●●%
12.11 21:00Millonarios – Alianza ValleduparPrimera A 6.26.0 6.8 – 5.7 ●●%●●%
12.11 21:00Águilas Doradas – Independiente MedellinPrimera A 6.16.0 6.3 – 5.6 ●●%●●%
12.11 21:00Águilas Doradas – Independiente MedellinPrimera A 6.16.0 6.3 – 5.6 ●●%●●%
12.11 23:00Cerro Largo – ProgresoPrimera División 6.15.8 5.9 – 6.2 ●●%●●%
12.11 21:00Deportivo Pasto – JuniorPrimera A 6.06.0 6.3 – 6.1 ●●%●●%
12.11 21:00Deportivo Pasto – JuniorPrimera A 6.06.0 6.3 – 6.1 ●●%●●%
12.11 21:00Deportivo Cali – Deportes TolimaPrimera A 6.06.0 6.6 – 5.0 ●●%●●%
12.11 21:00Deportivo Cali – Deportes TolimaPrimera A 6.06.0 6.6 – 5.0 ●●%●●%
12.11 21:00Deportivo Pereira – America de CaliPrimera A 6.06.0 5.5 – 6.1 ●●%●●%
12.11 21:00Deportivo Pereira – America de CaliPrimera A 6.06.0 5.5 – 6.1 ●●%●●%
12.11 21:00Atletico Nacional – Once CaldasPrimera A 6.06.0 5.6 – 6.0 ●●%●●%
12.11 21:00Atletico Nacional – Once CaldasPrimera A 6.06.0 5.6 – 6.0 ●●%●●%
12.11 21:00Bucaramanga – Fortaleza FCPrimera A 5.86.0 5.9 – 5.3 ●●%●●%
12.11 21:00Bucaramanga – Fortaleza FCPrimera A 5.86.0 5.9 – 5.3 ●●%●●%
12.11 21:00Llaneros – ChicoPrimera A 5.76.0 5.6 – 6.0 ●●%●●%
12.11 21:00Llaneros – ChicoPrimera A 5.76.0 5.6 – 6.0 ●●%●●%
12.11 21:00Internacional de Bogota – Santa FePrimera A 5.66.0 4.8 – 5.5 ●●%●●%
12.11 21:00Internacional de Bogota – Santa FePrimera A 5.66.0 4.8 – 5.5 ●●%●●%
13.11 19:30Leganes – BurgosSegunda División 5.55.3 5.5 – 5.7 ●●%●●%
12.11 22:00Puerto Cabello – Monagas SCPrimera División 5.45.8 5.2 – 5.2 ●●%●●%
13.11 18:00Ponferradina – CacereñoPrimera División RFEF - Group 1 5.24.4 6.2 – 5.4 ●●%●●%
13.11 18:00UTC Cajamarca – Club Deportivo Los ChankasPrimera División 5.05.0 5.0 – 5.0 ●●%●●%
13.11 19:30Latina – Campobasso FCSerie C - Girone B 5.04.7 5.3 – 4.7 ●●%●●%
13.11 20:15Gimnastic – Real Madrid IIPrimera División RFEF - Group 2 4.94.8 5.5 – 5.3 ●●%●●%
12.11 17:00Türkiye – BelgiumUEFA Nations League 4.74.4 3.5 – 3.7 ●●%●●%
12.11 19:45San Marino – BelarusUEFA Nations League 4.64.4 4.0 – 4.1 ●●%●●%
13.11 19:45Bulgaria – IcelandUEFA Nations League 4.64.4 3.3 – 3.9 ●●%●●%
13.11 19:45Andorra – GibraltarUEFA Nations League 4.44.4 4.5 – 3.3 ●●%●●%
13.11 17:30Hamburger SV W – Mainz 05 WFrauen Bundesliga 4.34.0 4.8 – 3.8 ●●%●●%
13.11 18:45Scotland – FYR MacedoniaUEFA Nations League 4.34.4 3.9 – 3.2 ●●%●●%
12.11 19:45Czechia – SpainUEFA Nations League 4.34.4 2.2 – 3.4 ●●%●●%
13.11 19:45Luxembourg – EstoniaUEFA Nations League 4.34.4 4.9 – 2.9 ●●%●●%
12.11 19:45Montenegro – LatviaUEFA Nations League 4.14.4 3.4 – 3.9 ●●%●●%
13.11 23:00Chelyabinsk – VelesFirst League 4.04.0 4.4 – 3.6 ●●%●●%
13.11 18:45Slovenia – SwitzerlandUEFA Nations League 4.04.4 4.3 – 2.9 ●●%●●%
13.11 19:45Serbia – GermanyUEFA Nations League 4.04.4 3.1 – 3.0 ●●%●●%
12.11 19:45Italy – FranceUEFA Nations League 4.04.4 4.4 – 2.5 ●●%●●%

How the numbers are calculated

Cards = yellow and red cards shown to players during 90 minutes (a second yellow counts as a yellow plus a red, as most bookmakers settle). Cards for coaches and substitutes on the bench and cards in extra time are excluded. Penalties = penalties awarded during the match (shoot-outs excluded). “vs league” compares the referee with the average of the exact league seasons this referee worked, so a referee from a card-heavy league is not called strict just because of the league.

Data: official match events and statistics (API-Sports), updated daily.

FAQ

How are the card predictions calculated?

The model combines the appointed referee’s card rate (compared with the leagues he or she works in) with both teams’ disciplinary record, pulled toward the league average when there is little data. It is tested on more than 22,000 matches.

When is the referee known?

Appointments are usually published 1–3 days before kick-off. Until then we show expected cards based on the two teams only; the list updates every few hours.

Which card markets do you cover?

Total cards over 3.5 and 4.5, both teams booked, penalty awarded and red card. A second yellow counts as a yellow plus a red, as with most bookmakers; cards for coaches and in extra time are not counted.