Our statistical analysis points to a win for Lyon, with 57% confidence. The fixture takes place in Top 14. The model sees 27-23 as the most likely result.

Model estimates for the main markets:

- main pick - 59%
- exact score 27-23 - 9%

Odds for this match are not available yet. The market comparison will appear once bookmakers publish their prices.

These picks were generated by a statistical model based on a results archive, team form and the history of their meetings. The stated confidence is a probability estimate - no model predicts results with 100% accuracy. A value bet appears where the model rates an outcome higher than the bookmaker's odds imply.