AI Card Predictions Today

Matches with an appointed referee, sorted by expected cards. The model combines the referee’s card rate with both teams’ discipline; the grey figure is the league average. All referees →

How accurate these predictions are →

Today · 28.09

DateMatchRefereeExp. cardsOver 3.5Over 4.5Both bookedPenaltyRed cardOdds o3.5 / o4.5
23:00Wanderers – Albion FCPrimera División Hernan Heras 5.55.8 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%—
18:45Northern Ireland – HungaryUEFA Nations League Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea 5.14.5 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%1.51 / 2.07
18:45Türkiye – ItalyUEFA Nations League Michael Oliver 4.74.5 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%1.45 / 1.91
18:45Sweden – PolandUEFA Nations League Javier Alberola Rojas 4.64.5 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%1.79 / 2.99
22:00Libertad Asuncion – OlimpiaDivision Profesional - Clausura Juan Gabriel Benitez 4.64.7 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%—
22:30America Mineiro – JuventudeSerie B Lucas Casagrande 4.35.1 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%— / 1.95
18:45Belgium – FranceUEFA Nations League Rade Obrenovic 4.14.5 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%1.70 / 2.31
23:00León W – América WLiga MX Femenil Y. Guzman 3.63.6 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%—
21:45Atlante W – Pumas UNAM WLiga MX Femenil B. Valdovinos 3.53.6 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%—
19:30Club Sp. San Lorenzo – Deportivo RecoletaDivision Profesional - Clausura Alipio Colman 3.44.7 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%—

Tomorrow · 29.09

DateMatchRefereeExp. cardsOver 3.5Over 4.5Both bookedPenaltyRed cardOdds o3.5 / o4.5
18:45Luxembourg – IcelandUEFA Nations League Enea Jorgji 5.34.5 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%—
22:30Botafogo SP – Ponte PretaSerie B Edina Alves Batista 5.35.1 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%— / 1.70
18:45Czechia – EnglandUEFA Nations League Halil Umut Meler 4.54.5 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%2.07 / 3.10
18:45Bulgaria – EstoniaUEFA Nations League Goga Kikacheishvili 4.54.5 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%— / 1.70
18:45Slovenia – FYR MacedoniaUEFA Nations League Andrea Colombo 4.24.5 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%1.78 / 2.15
18:45San Marino – AlbaniaUEFA Nations League Mihaly Kapraly 4.14.5 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%1.83 / —
18:45Slovakia – KazakhstanUEFA Nations League Patrik Kolaric 4.14.5 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%— / 2.07
18:45Cardiff MET – Haverfordwest County AFCPremier League R. Kenny 4.03.8 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%—
18:45Spain – CroatiaUEFA Nations League Serdar Gozubuyuk 3.94.5 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%1.95 / 2.85
16:00Moldova – Faroe IslandsUEFA Nations League Julian Weinberger 3.64.5 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%1.78 / —
01:06Necaxa W – Toluca WLiga MX Femenil E. Gomez Guizar 3.13.6 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%—
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Expected cards based on both teams’ discipline and the league average. The referee is usually appointed 1–3 days before kick-off.

DateMatchExp. cardsCards/game in their matches (home – away)Over 3.5Over 4.5
29.09 20:30Deportivo Pereira – Santa FePrimera A 5.96.0 5.6 – 5.5 ●●%●●%
29.09 22:00Real Potosí – ABBCopa de la División Profesional 5.85.5 6.3 – 6.0 ●●%●●%
29.09 19:00Universitario de Vinto – GuabiráCopa de la División Profesional 5.25.5 5.5 – 6.4 ●●%●●%
29.09 18:45Yeovil Town – WorthingNational League 4.54.1 4.2 – 5.1 ●●%●●%
29.09 18:00Boreham Wood – Kidderminster HarriersNational League 4.24.1 3.9 – 6.3 ●●%●●%
29.09 18:45Woking – Solihull MoorsNational League 4.24.1 3.7 – 3.6 ●●%●●%
28.09 23:00Quindio – Bogota FCPrimera B 4.23.8 4.0 – 4.8 ●●%●●%
29.09 18:45AFC Fylde – CarlisleNational League 4.14.1 4.6 – 4.2 ●●%●●%
29.09 18:45FC Halifax Town – Boston UnitedNational League 4.14.1 4.4 – 4.0 ●●%●●%
29.09 18:45Forest Green – WealdstoneNational League 4.14.1 4.1 – 4.1 ●●%●●%
29.09 18:45Gateshead – AltrinchamNational League 4.14.1 3.5 – 4.9 ●●%●●%
29.09 18:45Barrow – ScunthorpeNational League 4.04.1 3.6 – 4.8 ●●%●●%
28.09 21:00Internacional Palmira – Leones FCPrimera B 4.03.8 2.7 – 2.7 ●●%●●%
29.09 18:45AFC Hornchurch – Aldershot TownNational League 4.04.1 2.9 – 5.4 ●●%●●%
29.09 16:00FK Vozdovac – NapredakPrva Liga 3.73.5 7.8 – 4.5 ●●%●●%
29.09 11:00Wuxi Wugou – Ningbo ProfessionalLeague One 3.73.8 3.6 – 3.6 ●●%●●%
29.09 18:45Hartlepool – Harrogate TownNational League 3.64.1 4.1 – 3.2 ●●%●●%
29.09 17:00Benin – MauritaniaAfrica Cup of Nations - Qualification 3.53.1 4.1 – 3.8 ●●%●●%
29.09 19:00Gabon – NigerAfrica Cup of Nations - Qualification 3.13.1 3.5 – 3.6 ●●%●●%
29.09 10:00Ehime FC – FC TokyoJ-League Cup 3.13.0 3.4 – 2.7 ●●%●●%
29.09 13:00Madagascar – TanzaniaAfrica Cup of Nations - Qualification 3.03.1 5.1 – 3.8 ●●%●●%
29.09 13:00Mozambique – SudanAfrica Cup of Nations - Qualification 3.03.1 3.0 – 4.1 ●●%●●%
29.09 16:00Guinea-Bissau – NigeriaAfrica Cup of Nations - Qualification 2.83.1 2.8 – 3.2 ●●%●●%
28.09 19:00Botswana – TunisiaAfrica Cup of Nations - Qualification 2.73.1 2.4 – 3.1 ●●%●●%
29.09 13:00Ethiopia – SenegalAfrica Cup of Nations - Qualification 2.63.1 2.0 – 3.1 ●●%●●%

How the numbers are calculated

Cards = yellow and red cards shown to players during 90 minutes (a second yellow counts as a yellow plus a red, as most bookmakers settle). Cards for coaches and substitutes on the bench and cards in extra time are excluded. Penalties = penalties awarded during the match (shoot-outs excluded). “vs league” compares the referee with the average of the exact league seasons this referee worked, so a referee from a card-heavy league is not called strict just because of the league.

Data: official match events and statistics (API-Sports), updated daily.

FAQ

How are the card predictions calculated?

The model combines the appointed referee’s card rate (compared with the leagues he or she works in) with both teams’ disciplinary record, pulled toward the league average when there is little data. It is tested on more than 22,000 matches.

When is the referee known?

Appointments are usually published 1–3 days before kick-off. Until then we show expected cards based on the two teams only; the list updates every few hours.

Which card markets do you cover?

Total cards over 3.5 and 4.5, both teams booked, penalty awarded and red card. A second yellow counts as a yellow plus a red, as with most bookmakers; cards for coaches and in extra time are not counted.