AI Card Predictions Today

Matches with an appointed referee, sorted by expected cards. The model combines the referee’s card rate with both teams’ discipline; the grey figure is the league average. All referees →

How accurate these predictions are →

Today · 22.09

DateMatchRefereeExp. cardsOver 3.5Over 4.5Both bookedPenaltyRed cardOdds o3.5 / o4.5
23:00Independiente Medellin – JaguaresPrimera A Andres Rojas 6.56.0 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%
22:30Criciuma – Operario-PRSerie B Lucas Guimarães Rechatiko Horn 5.05.2 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%
19:00Real Madrid W – Paris Saint Germain WUEFA Champions League Women Ivana Projkovska 3.33.1 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%1.85 / —
16:45Bayern Munich W – Manchester City WUEFA Champions League Women Olatz Rivera Olmedo 2.23.1 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%2.25 / —

Tomorrow · 23.09

DateMatchRefereeExp. cardsOver 3.5Over 4.5Both bookedPenaltyRed cardOdds o3.5 / o4.5
16:45OH Leuven W – Roma WUEFA Champions League Women Frida Mia Klarlund Nielsen 2.53.1 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%
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Referee not announced yet

Expected cards based on both teams’ discipline and the league average. The referee is usually appointed 1–3 days before kick-off.

DateMatchExp. cardsCards/game in their matches (home – away)Over 3.5Over 4.5
23.09 01:00Santa Fe – Deportivo CaliPrimera A 6.26.0 5.6 – 7.2 ●●%●●%
22.09 23:00Nacional Potosí – Real PotosíCopa de la División Profesional 5.35.5 5.2 – 6.3 ●●%●●%
23.09 20:00ADT – CiencianoPrimera División 5.35.0 5.4 – 5.1 ●●%●●%
22.09 23:30A. Italiano – Colo ColoCopa Chile 4.54.5 6.0 – 5.1 ●●%●●%
23.09 16:00Birmingham Legion – BrooklynUSL Championship 4.44.8 4.6 – 4.5 ●●%●●%
22.09 21:00Real Santander – OrsomarsoPrimera B 4.13.8 5.4 – 2.3 ●●%●●%
22.09 18:00Accrington ST – Sunderland U21EFL Trophy 3.63.4 4.2 – 4.4 ●●%●●%
22.09 18:00Plymouth – Crystal Palace U21EFL Trophy 3.63.4 4.8 – 4.1 ●●%●●%
22.09 18:00Milton Keynes Dons – Crawley TownEFL Trophy 3.53.4 3.8 – 4.6 ●●%●●%
22.09 21:00Depor FC – Tigres FCPrimera B 3.53.8 3.2 – 3.2 ●●%●●%
22.09 18:30Bradford – Newcastle United U21EFL Trophy 3.53.4 4.1 – 3.4 ●●%●●%
22.09 18:00Tranmere – ShrewsburyEFL Trophy 3.43.4 3.9 – 4.4 ●●%●●%
22.09 18:00Peterborough – ColchesterEFL Trophy 3.43.4 4.2 – 4.0 ●●%●●%
22.09 18:00Luton – Ipswich Town U21EFL Trophy 3.43.4 3.8 – 4.1 ●●%●●%
22.09 18:00Notts County – GrimsbyEFL Trophy 3.43.4 4.7 – 3.8 ●●%●●%
22.09 18:00Crewe – Aston Villa U21EFL Trophy 3.43.4 3.7 – 4.3 ●●%●●%
22.09 18:00Chesterfield – Port ValeEFL Trophy 3.33.4 4.0 – 3.5 ●●%●●%
22.09 18:00Oldham – Fleetwood TownEFL Trophy 3.33.4 4.1 – 4.0 ●●%●●%
22.09 18:00Walsall – StevenageEFL Trophy 3.23.4 3.7 – 3.6 ●●%●●%
22.09 18:00Wigan – BlackpoolEFL Trophy 3.23.4 3.3 – 3.7 ●●%●●%
22.09 18:00Cheltenham – Exeter CityEFL Trophy 3.23.4 3.6 – 3.6 ●●%●●%
22.09 18:00York – RotherhamEFL Trophy 3.23.4 4.5 – 4.0 ●●%●●%
22.09 18:00Barnsley – Leeds United U21EFL Trophy 3.23.4 3.4 – 3.9 ●●%●●%
22.09 18:00Salford City – Sheffield WednesdayEFL Trophy 3.23.4 3.6 – 3.0 ●●%●●%
22.09 18:00Gillingham – Cambridge UnitedEFL Trophy 3.13.4 4.0 – 3.0 ●●%●●%
22.09 18:00Burton Albion – Nottingham Forest U21EFL Trophy 3.13.4 3.5 – 3.8 ●●%●●%
22.09 18:00Swindon Town – Newport CountyEFL Trophy 3.03.4 3.4 – 4.2 ●●%●●%
23.09 18:00Boreham Wood – Everton U21National League Cup 3.03.2 4.1 – 4.1 ●●%●●%
22.09 18:00Leicester – Fulham U21EFL Trophy 3.03.4 3.8 – 3.3 ●●%●●%
22.09 18:00Rochdale – Liverpool U21EFL Trophy 3.03.4 3.9 – 3.3 ●●%●●%
22.09 15:00DC Power W – Fort Lauderdale United WUSL Super League 2.83.0 1.5 – 3.9 ●●%●●%
23.09 08:00Gamba Osaka – Tokushima VortisEmperor Cup 2.62.7 2.5 – 2.8 ●●%●●%

How the numbers are calculated

Cards = yellow and red cards shown to players during 90 minutes (a second yellow counts as a yellow plus a red, as most bookmakers settle). Cards for coaches and substitutes on the bench and cards in extra time are excluded. Penalties = penalties awarded during the match (shoot-outs excluded). “vs league” compares the referee with the average of the exact league seasons this referee worked, so a referee from a card-heavy league is not called strict just because of the league.

Data: official match events and statistics (API-Sports), updated daily.

FAQ

How are the card predictions calculated?

The model combines the appointed referee’s card rate (compared with the leagues he or she works in) with both teams’ disciplinary record, pulled toward the league average when there is little data. It is tested on more than 22,000 matches.

When is the referee known?

Appointments are usually published 1–3 days before kick-off. Until then we show expected cards based on the two teams only; the list updates every few hours.

Which card markets do you cover?

Total cards over 3.5 and 4.5, both teams booked, penalty awarded and red card. A second yellow counts as a yellow plus a red, as with most bookmakers; cards for coaches and in extra time are not counted.