AI Card Predictions Today

Matches with an appointed referee, sorted by expected cards. The model combines the referee’s card rate with both teams’ discipline; the grey figure is the league average. All referees →

How accurate these predictions are →

Today · 16.10

DateMatchRefereeExp. cardsOver 3.5Over 4.5Both bookedPenaltyRed cardOdds o3.5 / o4.5
23:00Mirassol – InternacionalSerie A Bruno Arleu 4.95.1 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%—
22:00Defensa Y Justicia – Instituto CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina Andres Merlos 4.85.2 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%—
18:45Le Mans – ToulouseLigue 1 Aurelien Petit 4.04.0 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%—
19:00Burnley – WolvesChampionship L. Smith 4.03.9 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%—
18:30Eintracht Frankfurt – 1. FC KölnBundesliga Benjamin Brand 3.84.0 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%—
18:45Frosinone – SassuoloSerie A Matteo Marchetti 3.74.0 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%—

Tomorrow · 17.10

DateMatchRefereeExp. cardsOver 3.5Over 4.5Both bookedPenaltyRed cardOdds o3.5 / o4.5
23:00Velez Sarsfield – Gimnasia M.Liga Profesional Argentina Dario Herrera 5.65.2 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%—
00:30Boca Juniors – Talleres CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina Luis Lobo Medina 5.65.2 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%—
22:30Athletico-PR – PalmeirasSerie A Paulo Cesar Zanovelli 5.55.1 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%—
23:00Atletico Tucuman – Rosario CentralLiga Profesional Argentina Álvaro Carranza 5.55.2 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%—
20:30Independ. Rivadavia – TigreLiga Profesional Argentina Nazareno Arasa 5.25.2 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%—
21:30Atletico-MG – CoritibaSerie A D. Lacerda 5.15.1 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%—
18:00Banfield – Argentinos JRSLiga Profesional Argentina Sebastian Zunino 4.85.2 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%—
23:00Santos Laguna – Club QueretaroLiga MX Mario Terrazas Chavez 4.84.7 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%—
16:00Fenerbahçe – AlanyasporSüper Lig Cagdas Altay 4.84.8 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%—
20:30Platense – LanusLiga Profesional Argentina Leandro Rey Hilfer 4.65.2 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%—
14:00Aberdeen – St. MirrenPremiership John Beaton 4.64.0 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%—
23:30New York City FC – Los Angeles FCMajor League Soccer Rosendo Mendoza 4.54.3 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%—
14:00Southampton – BoltonChampionship Matt Donohue 4.43.9 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%—
14:00Hibernian – FalkirkPremiership Nick Walsh 4.44.0 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%—
14:00ST Johnstone – Dundee UtdPremiership Ross Hardie 4.44.0 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%—
23:07Guadalajara Chivas – Tigres UANLLiga MX H. Gomez 4.34.7 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%—
20:30Minnesota United FC – St. Louis CityMajor League Soccer Ramy Touchan 4.34.3 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%—
14:00Aberdeen – ST MirrenPremiership John Beaton 4.34.0 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%—
23:30Orlando City SC – DC UnitedMajor League Soccer Lauziere P. 4.34.3 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%—
13:30FC Schalke 04 – FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga Richard Hempel 4.24.0 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%—
11:30Millwall – LincolnChampionship R. Ricardo 4.23.9 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%—
18:45Estac Troyes – LensLigue 1 H. Ben El Hadj Salem 4.24.0 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%—
21:00Botafogo – Chapecoense-scSerie A Raphael Claus 4.25.1 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%—
16:30Newcastle – Aston VillaPremier League Jarred Gillett 4.24.1 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%—
14:00Fulham – Hull CityPremier League Chris Kavanagh 4.24.1 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%—
18:45AS Roma – GenoaSerie A Rosario Abisso 4.24.0 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%—
14:00Kilmarnock – MotherwellPremiership Calum Scott 4.14.0 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%—
14:00Brentford – LiverpoolPremier League John Brooks 4.14.1 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%—
13:30Hamburger SV – VfB StuttgartBundesliga Robert Hartmann 4.14.0 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%—
14:00Birmingham – QPRChampionship Thomas Kirk 4.13.9 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%—
13:30SV Elversberg – FC AugsburgBundesliga Florian Exner 4.04.0 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%—
13:30Werder Bremen – SC Paderborn 07Bundesliga Robert Schröder 4.04.0 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%—
18:45Lille – Stade Brestois 29Ligue 1 Turpin C. 4.04.0 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%—
11:30Watford – CharltonChampionship Thomas Bramall 4.03.9 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%—
23:30New England Revolution – Chicago FireMajor League Soccer Bensalah 4.04.3 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%—
14:00Bristol City – Sheffield UtdChampionship B. Speedie 3.93.9 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%—
14:00Norwich – PortsmouthChampionship Gavin Ward 3.93.9 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%—
14:00Derby – Stoke CityChampionship Oliver Langford 3.83.9 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%—
14:00Swansea – West HamChampionship Josh Smith 3.83.9 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%—
19:00Dundee – RangersPremiership Duncan Nicolson 3.84.0 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%—
13:30Union Berlin – Borussia DortmundBundesliga Daniel Schlager 3.84.0 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%—
11:30Everton – ChelseaPremier League Paul Tierney 3.84.1 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%—
18:15Cracovia Krakow – Legia WarszawaEkstraklasa Piotr Lasyk 3.74.2 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%—
14:00West Brom – BlackburnChampionship Adam Herczeg 3.73.9 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%—
23:30Atlanta United FC – Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer Allen Chapman 3.64.3 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%—
14:00Manchester City – IpswichPremier League Farai Hallam 3.64.1 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%—
14:00Wrexham – PrestonChampionship Simon Hooper 3.53.9 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%—
15:30GKS Katowice – Pogon SzczecinEkstraklasa Szymon Marciniak 3.54.2 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%—
23:30New York Red Bulls – Toronto FCMajor League Soccer Marcos de Oliveira 3.54.3 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%—
15:15Strasbourg – PSGLigue 1 Willy Delajod 3.54.0 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%—
11:30Middlesbrough – CardiffChampionship Tom Nield 3.43.9 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%—
16:30Bayern München – RB LeipzigBundesliga Tobias Stieler 3.44.0 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%—
18:00Telstar – FeyenoordEredivisie Jeroen Manschot 3.33.3 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%—
19:00Sparta Rotterdam – Willem IIEredivisie Serdar Gozubuyuk 3.13.3 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%—
16:00Bologna – InterSerie A Daniele Doveri 3.14.0 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%—
14:30ADO Den Haag – PSV EindhovenEredivisie Martin Van den Kerkhof 2.93.3 ●●%●●%●●%●●%●●%—
Premium: card, penalty and red-card probabilities for every match with a known referee.Unlock card and referee predictions with Premium

Referee not announced yet

Expected cards based on both teams’ discipline and the league average. The referee is usually appointed 1–3 days before kick-off.

DateMatchExp. cardsCards/game in their matches (home – away)Over 3.5Over 4.5
17.10 23:05Millonarios – JaguaresPrimera A 6.56.0 6.7 – 6.0 ●●%●●%
17.10 03:00CA La Paz – TlaxcalaLiga de Expansión MX 6.35.5 6.7 – 5.7 ●●%●●%
17.10 20:00UCV – Portuguesa FCPrimera División 6.25.9 6.0 – 6.8 ●●%●●%
17.10 18:00Cruz Azul Hidalgo – Mineros de ZacatecasLiga de Expansión MX 6.25.5 6.7 – 6.0 ●●%●●%
16.10 19:00ABB – Real PotosíPrimera División 6.25.9 5.8 – 6.0 ●●%●●%
17.10 20:00Rayo Zuliano – Caracas FCPrimera División 6.15.9 6.3 – 5.5 ●●%●●%
17.10 01:00Correcaminos Uat – DoradosLiga de Expansión MX 6.15.5 6.8 – 6.0 ●●%●●%
17.10 23:30Blooming – Independiente PetroleroPrimera División 6.15.9 7.0 – 5.4 ●●%●●%
17.10 20:00Carabobo FC – Deportivo Tachira FCPrimera División 6.15.9 6.1 – 6.0 ●●%●●%
17.10 20:00Zamora FC – Anzoátegui FCPrimera División 6.15.9 5.7 – 6.2 ●●%●●%
17.10 15:00Kalamata – OFISuper League 1 6.05.4 6.0 – 5.4 ●●%●●%
17.10 19:00Real Oruro – AuroraPrimera División 6.05.9 5.7 – 6.4 ●●%●●%
17.10 13:00Progreso – JuventudPrimera División 5.95.8 6.2 – 5.8 ●●%●●%
17.10 21:00Águilas Doradas – Deportes TolimaPrimera A 5.96.0 6.4 – 5.0 ●●%●●%
17.10 15:00Kifisia – Aris ThessalonikisSuper League 1 5.95.4 6.2 – 5.5 ●●%●●%
17.10 19:00Chico – Atletico NacionalPrimera A 5.96.0 6.1 – 5.7 ●●%●●%
17.10 23:00Westchester SC – Union OmahaUSL League One 5.85.2 5.8 – 5.8 ●●%●●%
16.10 22:00Cerro – Cerro LargoPrimera División 5.85.8 6.4 – 5.9 ●●%●●%
17.10 23:30Fort Wayne – Sarasota ParadiseUSL League One 5.85.2 6.1 – 5.6 ●●%●●%
17.10 20:00Estudiantes de Merida FC – Metropolitanos FCPrimera División 5.85.9 6.5 – 5.6 ●●%●●%
17.10 22:00Richmond Kickers – Corpus ChristiUSL League One 5.75.2 3.9 – 6.9 ●●%●●%
17.10 15:00Levadiakos – Volos NFCSuper League 1 5.75.4 5.7 – 5.5 ●●%●●%
17.10 20:00Deportivo La Guaira – Trujillanos FCPrimera División 5.75.9 5.8 – 6.0 ●●%●●%
17.10 16:00Racing Montevideo – WanderersPrimera División 5.65.8 6.3 – 6.1 ●●%●●%
17.10 12:00Real Sociedad II – AlmeriaSegunda División 5.65.3 6.0 – 5.6 ●●%●●%
17.10 21:15Universitario de Vinto – San Antonio Bulo BuloPrimera División 5.55.9 5.5 – 4.8 ●●%●●%
17.10 22:00Forward Madison – Portland Hearts of PineUSL League One 5.55.2 5.3 – 5.0 ●●%●●%
16.10 18:30Leganes – CordobaSegunda División 5.55.3 5.4 – 5.9 ●●%●●%
17.10 19:00Boston River – Defensor SportingPrimera División 5.45.8 5.2 – 5.9 ●●%●●%
17.10 20:00Puerto Cabello – Monagas SCPrimera División 5.45.9 5.4 – 5.2 ●●%●●%
17.10 20:00Juan Pablo II College – Sport BoysPrimera División 5.45.0 5.0 – 5.6 ●●%●●%
17.10 12:00Alemannia Aachen – Hansa Rostock3. Liga 5.44.9 5.6 – 5.4 ●●%●●%
17.10 12:00SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach – Preußen Münster3. Liga 5.44.9 5.6 – 5.1 ●●%●●%
17.10 15:00Atromitos – AEK Athens FCSuper League 1 5.35.4 5.0 – 5.1 ●●%●●%
17.10 17:00Maccabi Netanya – Ironi Kiryat ShmonaLigat Ha'al 5.34.8 5.3 – 5.3 ●●%●●%
17.10 16:15Maccabi Netanya – Ironi Kiryat ShmonaLigat Ha'al 5.34.8 5.3 – 5.3 ●●%●●%
17.10 16:00Sporting Cristal – Comerciantes UnidosPrimera División 5.35.0 5.0 – 5.5 ●●%●●%
17.10 16:00Macva – OFK BeogradSuper Liga 5.34.6 6.5 – 4.7 ●●%●●%
17.10 15:00Panathinaikos – Asteras TripolisSuper League 1 5.25.4 4.9 – 5.3 ●●%●●%
17.10 12:00Würzburger Kickers – Waldhof Mannheim3. Liga 5.24.9 5.1 – 5.7 ●●%●●%

How the numbers are calculated

Cards = yellow and red cards shown to players during 90 minutes (a second yellow counts as a yellow plus a red, as most bookmakers settle). Cards for coaches and substitutes on the bench and cards in extra time are excluded. Penalties = penalties awarded during the match (shoot-outs excluded). “vs league” compares the referee with the average of the exact league seasons this referee worked, so a referee from a card-heavy league is not called strict just because of the league.

Data: official match events and statistics (API-Sports), updated daily.

FAQ

How are the card predictions calculated?

The model combines the appointed referee’s card rate (compared with the leagues he or she works in) with both teams’ disciplinary record, pulled toward the league average when there is little data. It is tested on more than 22,000 matches.

When is the referee known?

Appointments are usually published 1–3 days before kick-off. Until then we show expected cards based on the two teams only; the list updates every few hours.

Which card markets do you cover?

Total cards over 3.5 and 4.5, both teams booked, penalty awarded and red card. A second yellow counts as a yellow plus a red, as with most bookmakers; cards for coaches and in extra time are not counted.